Ireland v Estonia
Estonia’s lack of discipline cost them dearly on Friday as they had two players sent off and effectively gave up their hopes of reaching Euro 2012. With a stunning 4-0 lead to defend from the first leg, The Republic of Ireland would probably have to start with nine men to give Estonia a chance. There will be a party atmosphere to watch Ireland wrap up qualification and it is difficult to see that being anything other than a formality. With the tie all but decided, this game is difficult to forecast. Ireland will presumably be happy to play out the game and invite the visitors to attack but Estonia know the game is up and I cannot seem them arriving in Dublin with a gung-ho attitude. A stalemate is not impossible so 10-1 about a 0-0 outcome may be worth a punt.
Portugal v Bosnia-Herzegovina
Although Bosnia are still very much in this tie after a goalless first leg, they may be kicking themselves for not playing a more positive game. They gave the Portuguese too much respect and now face a daunting task in Lisbon. If there is to be a shock in the play-offs, this is the tie most likely to provide one. Odds of 3-1 for a draw in normal time could be worth taking while it is 9-1 against another 0-0. Paddy Power are offering some tempting odds for either side winning in a penalty shoot-out – 33-1 Portugal and 40-1 Bosnia. If you split your stake you are effectively taking 18-1 on a penalty shoot-out taking place.
Croatia v Turkey
Croatia comfortably beat Turkey 3-0 and find themselves in a similar position to Ireland going into the second leg. Turkey will be bitterly disappointed with their performance and will surely improve. Qualification looks well beyond them but it wouldn’t surprise me to see them restore some pride. They are 4-1 to win the match and a 2-1 win for Turkey is available at odds of 16-1.
Montenegro v Czech Republic
The Czech Republic will have been very relieved to take a 2-0 lead into the second leg, courtesy of an injury time goal from Tomas Sivok. Montenegro would have fancied their chances of overturning a 1-0 deficit but it now looks a very different tie. The Czechs can book their place in the finals with another victory here and a best price of 15-8 makes some appeal, with odds of 10-1 available on a 2-1 away victory.
Friendly International – England v Sweden
England will have received a massive boost from their 1-0 victory over the World Champions on Saturday. It has to be said that it was a very lethargic performance from the Spanish with England scoring with their only attack worthy of note. Sweden qualified for Euro 2012 as runners up to Holland in their group but went through automatically for the highest points earned by a second placed team. They defeated Holland in a thrilling 3-2 game to secure their place and are clearly strong enough to warrant respect. Odds of 4-1 about a Swedish win look tempting and a 2-1 victory is offered at 16-1 by Totesport. For first goalscorer it could be worth taking the 9-1 about Johan Elmander with William Hill.